Predictive Discovery Maintains Growth Outlook Despite Guinea Permit Revocations

Predictive Discovery Ltd  clarified the impact of revoked exploration permits in Guinea, affirming the integrity of its flagship Bankan Gold Project and sustaining its growth outlook in West Africa.

  • PDI traded at $0.435 on 27 May 2025 with a volume of 6.94 million shares.
  • 1-Year Return of +135.14%, one of the strongest performances in the small-cap gold space.
  • Guinea’s Ministry of Mines revoked the Argo and Bokoro permits, but the Bankan Gold Project remains unaffected.
  • Bankan’s 5.38Moz resource remains fully secured and is progressing through the exploitation permit process.
  • Company is engaging directly with Guinea’s Ministry to address the changes and maintain investor confidence.


Predictive Discovery Ltd (ASX: PDI) is a West African-focused gold exploration company, best known for its high-grade Bankan Gold Project in Guinea. The project holds one of the largest undeveloped gold resources in the region, with a Mineral Resource Estimate of 5.53 million ounces, including 5.38 million ounces at Bankan itself. PDI operates with a mission to develop scalable, high-margin assets across underexplored regions of Africa. The company’s recent surge in market value reflects investor confidence in the quality and potential of its exploration portfolio.

Bankan Gold Project Stands Firm Amid Permit Disruptions

Predictive Discovery Ltd responded promptly to news that Guinea’s Ministry of Mines and Geology revoked several exploration permits, including the Argo and Bokoro blocks. While initial reactions may have raised investor concerns, PDI moved quickly to reassure the market that the impact is limited. Crucially, the Bankan Gold Project, which holds 97% of the company’s total resource estimate, remains entirely unaffected. Located within the Kaninko and Saman permits, the Bankan assets are currently progressing through the final stages of the exploitation permit application.

This clarity has helped stabilise sentiment and maintain focus on Bankan’s high-grade development trajectory. The revoked permits represented only 2.3% of the company’s total Mineral Resource Estimate, and were not material to near-term production plans. Management reaffirmed its commitment to Guinea’s regulatory processes and is actively engaging with authorities to seek redress or clarity on the permit removals.

Bankan remains one of the most promising undeveloped gold resources in West Africa. The ongoing technical studies and community consultation processes are aligned with environmental and social standards. Once fully permitted, Bankan is expected to become a cornerstone asset, with scalability and long-life production potential. Despite the noise surrounding the revoked permits, the fundamentals of the PDI investment story remain unchanged.

Market Momentum and Exploration Strategy Remain on Track

Despite broader uncertainties in the exploration landscape, Predictive Discovery has retained its strong market position. The company’s share price remains steady at $0.435, supported by a 135.14% one-year return, reflecting long-term confidence in Bankan’s strategic value. With a market capitalization of over $1.14 billion, PDI has ascended into the upper ranks of ASX-listed gold explorers.

Volume trading figures remain robust, indicating sustained institutional and retail interest. Investors appear to be focusing on the structural long-term value of Bankan rather than short-term regulatory setbacks. The PE ratio remains at 0, consistent with exploration-phase companies, while all capital is currently directed towards resource development rather than shareholder payouts.

Beyond Bankan, Predictive Discovery maintains a strategic interest in further regional exploration. Although the revoked permits are no longer part of the core plan, the company is expected to evaluate alternative high-potential zones within Guinea and possibly across other underexplored West African jurisdictions. The strong cash position and demonstrated geological expertise provide a buffer against operational headwinds.

The current regulatory challenge could even prompt a tightening of project prioritisation and capital discipline—both of which could enhance long-term shareholder value. In this context, the company’s proactive engagement with Guinea’s Ministry and commitment to transparency strengthen its reputation as a credible operator in emerging markets.

Overall, Predictive Discovery is entering the next phase of its development with clarity and purpose. While permit changes are never ideal, the fundamentals remain sound, and Bankan continues to represent one of the most attractive gold development opportunities in the region.

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